2019-12-22

Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 16, Saturday

New England over San Francisco

It seems like everyone complains about Thursday football, including me sometimes, yet I get used to it and miss it late in the season. To placate us a little, we got 3 Saturday games this week - Houston defeated Tampa, New England beat Buffalo, and San Francisco beat the LA Rams with a field goal as the clock ran out. That eliminates LA from the NFC playoffs, and puts Minnesota in. With 5 teams in, the the only spot left to determine is the winner of the NFC East, between Dallas and Philadelphia. Seeding is also up for grabs, as no one has clinched a first round bye in either conference yet, and the NFC West and North can still be won by either of two teams, with the other becoming a wildcard.

In the AFC, New England clinched the East, eliminating Buffalo, while Houston clinched the South, eliminating Tennessee. Buffalo is a wildcard though, and Tennessee is currently the most likely to become the other, with Pittsburgh giving them some competition, and Cleveland and Oakland barely hanging on.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE12-30.864++++99.776.849.535.7
BAL12-20.815++++99.773.334.822.5
SF12-30.77574.0++91.558.939.016.7
MIN10-40.72412.9++63.032.318.46.7
NO11-30.640++++75.037.615.34.3
KC10-40.699++++60.817.16.73.3
DAL7-70.66974.974.941.320.39.32.9
GB11-30.59987.1++63.528.710.52.6
BUF10-50.652-++57.815.64.92.2
SEA11-30.54726.0++55.718.86.51.4
TEN8-60.624-58.525.77.01.90.8
HOU10-50.527++++40.06.91.50.5
PIT8-60.525-41.216.23.20.60.2
PHI7-70.51225.125.19.93.41.00.2
CLE6-80.453-0.20.10.00.00.0
OAK6-80.293-0.20.00.00.00.0
LAR8-70.546------
TB7-80.525------
LAC5-90.520------
CHI7-70.508------
IND6-80.446------
ATL5-90.433------
DEN5-90.390------
CAR5-90.382------
DET3-10-10.370------
ARI4-9-10.325------
NYG3-110.316------
NYJ5-90.301------
JAC5-90.292------
WAS3-110.231------
CIN1-130.211------
MIA3-110.190------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a Playoff spot: New Orleans (Week 13, Thursday)

First team eliminated from a division: Cincinnati (Week 10, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 15, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 15, Final] New England over San Francisco

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