Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 7, Sunday

New England over San Francisco

San Francisco won a low-scoring game to stay on top of the NFC. New England doesn't play until Monday night, but no one is really challenging them for the AFC right now. Buffalo's 5-1 record is the only thing keeping them from coming even closer to locking up a playoff spot, by offering a little bit of a challenge for the division. I don't think New York at 1-5 or Miami at 0-6 are going to catch up.

Speaking of Miami, they are terrible. I'm going to have to start running more and more simulations just to hit at least one extremely unlikely case where they win the Superbowl each week, instead of prematurely showing them as eliminated.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	6-0	0.681	83.30	99.40	92.15	58.83	36.43	21.10
SF	6-0	0.663	86.23	95.68	86.89	51.86	30.40	16.87
BAL	5-2	0.608	86.85	90.38	65.76	35.30	17.35	8.68
KC	5-2	0.591	82.48	86.97	62.62	32.13	15.14	7.32
MIN	5-2	0.627	31.31	74.16	50.02	26.82	14.10	7.29
GB	6-1	0.587	63.32	86.18	64.91	32.33	15.33	7.28
DAL	4-3	0.623	83.41	84.39	50.44	26.38	13.81	7.08
BUF	5-1	0.575	16.68	91.71	55.29	25.21	12.07	5.64
NO	6-1	0.535	64.82	82.50	57.13	24.75	10.34	4.39
CAR	4-2	0.560	32.92	53.50	32.63	14.84	6.63	2.97
IND	4-2	0.510	48.77	64.44	39.91	16.24	6.33	2.55
HOU	4-3	0.539	28.94	51.05	30.58	13.06	5.55	2.39
SEA	5-2	0.509	9.69	39.37	19.68	7.83	3.20	1.28
LAR	4-3	0.547	3.44	28.44	14.31	6.19	2.76	1.20
TEN	3-4	0.525	9.39	20.76	10.99	4.41	1.84	0.77
JAC	3-4	0.491	12.90	25.64	12.49	4.63	1.77	0.68
CHI	3-3	0.518	3.79	15.98	7.73	3.17	1.31	0.53
OAK	3-3	0.430	10.81	24.38	10.81	3.53	1.15	0.38
PIT	2-4	0.462	6.70	17.24	7.72	2.71	0.97	0.35
PHI	3-4	0.473	13.58	16.22	6.65	2.44	0.91	0.33
CLE	2-4	0.433	6.39	13.26	5.55	1.84	0.61	0.20
LAC	2-5	0.498	5.09	7.52	3.43	1.32	0.52	0.20
DET	2-3-1	0.480	1.58	7.73	3.41	1.27	0.48	0.18
TB	2-4	0.481	2.19	6.39	2.70	0.99	0.37	0.14
ARI	3-3-1	0.444	0.64	5.76	2.25	0.76	0.26	0.09
DEN	2-5	0.438	1.62	4.24	1.71	0.55	0.19	0.06
NYG	2-5	0.396	2.92	3.52	1.18	0.35	0.11	0.03
NYJ	1-4	0.381	0.02	2.83	0.93	0.24	0.07	0.02
ATL	1-6	0.376	0.07	0.11	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00
CIN	0-7	0.364	0.06	0.10	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00
WAS	1-6	0.333	0.09	0.10	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00
MIA	0-6	0.322	0.00	0.08	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)


[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco