2019-10-08

Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 5, Final

New England over San Francisco

San Francisco won and solidified their NFC leading position at 4-0. They're also now the strongest NFC team in terms of points scored and allowed, adjusted for games played. New England's can't seem to have a single bad day, gaining ground because their future opponent Cleveland is now a much weaker team after the 31-3 loss.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE5-00.65382.2598.3090.3056.3034.7220.72
SF4-00.60465.6184.8071.4340.3422.5611.82
KC4-10.56065.3376.9157.4729.1813.676.84
BAL3-20.57171.7976.1749.8925.4912.396.35
BUF4-10.55617.6783.4951.6424.1511.805.86
GB4-10.55547.0067.0348.8024.5912.195.78
DAL3-20.57951.6958.8237.8019.9710.475.22
MIN3-20.58821.7546.5231.6216.979.044.59
PHI3-20.55341.6150.5831.7215.907.893.73
HOU3-20.54036.9052.7034.4916.297.373.54
SEA4-10.52823.7051.9133.0615.467.303.27
CAR3-20.54235.7746.3929.5514.316.873.17
NO4-10.49849.1860.1938.6616.967.353.08
CHI3-20.55217.2938.4024.6612.256.042.85
TEN2-30.55718.0531.9720.049.614.542.26
IND3-20.49631.1844.9927.0011.524.702.05
LAR3-20.5209.9931.6718.568.553.981.75
DET2-1-10.50413.9628.1716.857.573.361.42
LAC2-30.52114.1526.5515.186.762.951.37
OAK3-20.46017.4535.6419.247.462.801.12
JAC2-30.48613.8825.4113.385.442.190.94
TB2-30.49812.8318.899.834.291.870.78
CLE2-30.43818.3024.3611.044.061.470.56
PIT1-40.4498.2412.385.502.050.760.30
NYG2-30.4446.6010.304.751.850.720.26
DEN1-40.4633.076.433.111.190.460.19
ARI1-3-10.4300.693.151.380.510.190.07
ATL1-40.4172.213.041.260.450.160.05
CIN0-50.3971.682.170.800.260.090.03
NYJ0-40.3890.031.380.500.150.050.02
MIA0-40.3760.051.150.400.120.040.01
WAS0-50.3760.100.160.060.020.010.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)



[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco

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