Round 1
COL 0-1 CGY
VGK 1-1 SJS
DAL 1-0 NSH
STL 2-0 WPG
CBJ 2-0 TBL
TOR 1-0 BOS
CAR 0-1 WSH
PIT 0-2 NYI
| Team | Strength | Round 2 | Round 3 | Finals | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY | 0.618 | 81.0 | 54.5 | 36.7 | 20.8 |
| TBL | 0.682 | 37.8 | 28.1 | 21.6 | 16.1 |
| NYI | 0.575 | 81.8 | 44.6 | 19.9 | 10.2 |
| STL | 0.551 | 82.2 | 44.2 | 18.6 | 7.5 |
| TOR | 0.565 | 60.4 | 25.8 | 12.7 | 6.2 |
| WSH | 0.555 | 67.2 | 32.0 | 13.0 | 6.1 |
| BOS | 0.592 | 39.6 | 19.1 | 11.0 | 6.0 |
| CBJ | 0.553 | 62.2 | 27.0 | 12.5 | 5.6 |
| SJS | 0.551 | 50.2 | 19.1 | 10.1 | 4.1 |
| NSH | 0.557 | 41.6 | 22.0 | 9.5 | 4.0 |
| VGK | 0.540 | 49.8 | 17.8 | 8.4 | 3.2 |
| DAL | 0.519 | 58.4 | 24.2 | 8.7 | 2.9 |
| CAR | 0.547 | 32.8 | 14.0 | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| PIT | 0.562 | 18.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| WPG | 0.554 | 17.8 | 9.7 | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| COL | 0.528 | 19.0 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
We've got 1 split series and 3 with a team up 2-0, with St. Louis and Columbus both winning 2 road games. In spite of being behind in the series and only 37.8% likely to win, Tampa Bay is still the most likely team to win the East, because they have a very high strength value due to their goals scored and allowed this year, so in the event they can win this first round, they'll be massively favored in future rounds. New York is creeping up right behind them though, so Sunday's games could have them finally flip.
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